The impact of tourism on economic growth in ASEAN-5 countries: Evidence from panel data analysis
Main Article Content
M. Sandy Maulana
Pocut Nazwa Zia Shahfina
Martahadi Mardhani
Puti Andiny
Safuridar
This study analyzes the influence of the tourism sector on economic growth in five ASEAN countries (ASEAN-5), using panel data from 1995 to 2023. By employing a quantitative approach and panel data regression models, this research finds that the number of foreign tourist arrivals, tourism receipts, and exchange rate significantly influence the economic growth of these countries. The analysis results indicate that an increase in the number of foreign tourist arrivals and tourism receipts positively impacts economic growth, while the exchange rate significantly contributes to its improvement. These findings confirm the importance of the tourism sector as an economic driver and highlight the necessity of supportive policies to foster the development of this sector in order to enhance economic growth in the ASEAN region.
Afonso-Rodríguez, J. A. (2017). Evaluating the dynamics and impact of terrorist attacks on tourism and economic growth for Turkey. Journal of Policy Research in Tourism, Leisure and Events, 9(1), 56–81. https://doi.org/10.1080/19407963.2016.1231196 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/19407963.2016.1231196
Ashour, M., & Chen Yong, C. (2018). The impact of exchange rate regimes on economic growth: Empirical study of a set of developing countries during the period 1974–2006. Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, 27(1), 74–90. https://doi.org/10.1080/09638199.2017.1339117 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09638199.2017.1339117
Balcilar, M., van Eyden, R., Inglesi-Lotz, R., & Gupta, R. (2014). Time-varying linkages between tourism receipts and economic growth in South Africa. Applied Economics, 46(36), 4381–4398. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2014.957445 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2014.957445
Balli, E., Sigeze, C., Manga, M., Birdir, S., & Birdir, K. (2019). The relationship between tourism, CO 2 emissions and economic growth: a case of Mediterranean countries. Asia Pacific Journal of Tourism Research, 24(3), 219–232. https://doi.org/10.1080/10941665.2018.1557717 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/10941665.2018.1557717
Bouzahzah, M., & El Menyari, Y. (2013a). International tourism and economic growth: the case of Morocco and Tunisia. Journal of North African Studies, 18(4), 592–607. https://doi.org/10.1080/13629387.2013.836321
Bouzahzah, M., & El Menyari, Y. (2013b). International tourism and economic growth: the case of Morocco and Tunisia. Journal of North African Studies, 18(4), 592–607. https://doi.org/10.1080/13629387.2013.836321 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13629387.2013.836321
Brida, J. G., & Risso, W. A. (2010). Tourism as a determinant of long-run economic growth. Journal of Policy Research in Tourism, Leisure and Events, 2(1), 14–28. https://doi.org/10.1080/19407960903542276 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/19407960903542276
Chen, C. F., & Chiou-Wei, S. Z. (2009). Tourism expansion, tourism uncertainty and economic growth: New evidence from Taiwan and Korea. Tourism Management, 30(6), 812–818. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2008.12.013 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2008.12.013
Fasa, A. W. H., Berliandaldo, M., Andriani, D., & Prasetio, A. (2023). Implikasi Penerapan Kebijakan Golden Visa Dalam Rangka Mendorong Pengembangan Investasi Pada Sektor Pariwisata. Jurnal Kepariwisataan, 22(2), 159–175. https://doi.org/10.52352/jpar.v22i2.1117 DOI: https://doi.org/10.52352/jpar.v22i2.1117
Fawaz, F., Rahnama, M., & Stout, B. (2014). An empirical refinement of the relationship between tourism and economic growth. Anatolia, 25(3), 352–363. https://doi.org/10.1080/13032917.2013.876434 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13032917.2013.876434
Gričar, S., Bojnec, Š., Karadžić, V., & Backović Vulić, T. (2021). Tourism-led economic growth in Montenegro and Slovenia. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istrazivanja , 34(1), 3401–3420. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2021.1875858 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2021.1875858
Haller, A. P., Butnaru, G. I., Hârșan, G. D. T., & Ştefănică, M. (2021). The relationship between tourism and economic growth in the EU-28. Is there a tendency towards convergence? Economic Research-Ekonomska Istrazivanja, 34(1), 1121–1145. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2020.1819852 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2020.1819852
Kadir, N., & Karim, M. Z. A. (2012). Tourism and economic growth in Malaysia: Evidence from tourist arrivals from ASEAN-5 countries. Ekonomska Istrazivanja, 25(4), 1089–1100. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677x.2012.11517550 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2012.11517550
Katusiime, L., Agbola, F. W., & Shamsuddin, A. (2016). Exchange rate volatility–economic growth nexus in Uganda. Applied Economics, 48(26), 2428–2442. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2015.1122732 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2015.1122732
Kavya Lekshmi, R. S., & Mallick, H. (2022). Contribution of international tourism to economic growth of Kerala: a subnational-level analysis in India. Journal of Policy Research in Tourism, Leisure and Events, 14(2), 165–182. https://doi.org/10.1080/19407963.2020.1854275 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/19407963.2020.1854275
Khan, A. M., Khan, U., Naseem, S., & Faisal, S. (2023). Role of energy consumption, tourism and economic growth in carbon emission: evidence from Kuwait. Cogent Economics and Finance, 11(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2023.2218680 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2023.2218680
Kumar, R. R., & Stauvermann, P. J. (2023). Tourism and economic growth in the Pacific region: evidence from five small island economies. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 28(3), 894–921. https://doi.org/10.1080/13547860.2021.1944796 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13547860.2021.1944796
Lorde, T., Francis, B., & Drakes, L. (2011). Tourism services exports and economic growth in Barbados. International Trade Journal, 25(2), 205–232. https://doi.org/10.1080/08853908.2011.554788 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/08853908.2011.554788
Mardhani, M., Majid, M. S. A., Jamal, A., & Aswadi, K. (2024). Does Domestic Tourism Stimulate Economic Growth? Evidence from Indonesian Provincial Panel Data. International Journal of Sustainable Development and Planning, 19(12), 4891–4896. https://doi.org/10.18280/ijsdp.191236 DOI: https://doi.org/10.18280/ijsdp.191236
Mardhani, M., Majid, M. S. A., Jamal, A., & Muhammad, S. (2021). Does International Tourism Promote Economic Growth? Some Evidence From Indonesia. GeoJournal of Tourism and Geosites, 37(3), 775–782. https://doi.org/10.30892/gtg.37306-708 DOI: https://doi.org/10.30892/gtg.37306-708
Mohapatra, S. (2018a). Investigating the tourism and economic growth linkage: a panel causality analysis for the SAARC countries. Asia Pacific Journal of Tourism Research, 23(6), 573–583. https://doi.org/10.1080/10941665.2018.1468345 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/10941665.2018.1468345
Mookerjee, R. (1997). Export volume, exchange rates and global economic growth: The Indian experience. Applied Economics Letters, 4(7), 425–429. https://doi.org/10.1080/135048597355195 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/135048597355195
Morina, F., Hysa, E., Ergün, U., Panait, M., & Voica, M. C. (2020). The Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility on Economic Growth: Case of the CEE Countries. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 13(8). https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13080177 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13080177
Mudrikah, A., Sartika, D., Yuniarti, R., Ismanto, & Satia, A. B. (2014). Kontribusi Sektor Pariwisata Terhadap Gdp Indonesia Tahun 2004 - 2009. Economics Development Analysis Journal, 3(2), 362–371.
Nissan, E., Galindo, M. A., & Méndez, M. T. (2011). Relationship between tourism and economic growth. Service Industries Journal, 31(10), 1567–1572. https://doi.org/10.1080/02642069.2010.485636 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/02642069.2010.485636
Nizar, M. A. (2011.). Tourism Effect on Economic Growth in Indonesia. Munich Personal RePEc Archive. http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/65628/
Panahi, H., Mamipour, S., & Nazari, K. (2015). Tourism and economic growth: a time-varying parameter approach. Anatolia, 26(2), 173–185. https://doi.org/10.1080/13032917.2014.914043 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13032917.2014.914043
Prayitno, A. R. D., Purwantoro, A., Astuti, N. W., & Haryanto, T. (2023). Analisis produktivitas pariwisata: Studi kasus pada beberapa negara berdasarkan perbedaan karakter wilayah. Jurnal Pendidikan Ekonomi (JUPE), 11(3), 304–312. https://doi.org/10.26740/jupe.v11n3.p304-312 DOI: https://doi.org/10.26740/jupe.v11n3.p304-312
Rediteani, N., & Setiawina, N. (2018). Pengaruh Jumlah Kunjungan Wisatawan, Lama Tinggal dan Tingkat Hunian Hotel Terhadap Pajak Hotel Restoran dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Kota Denpasar. E-Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Universitas Udayana, , 114-133. Retrieved from https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/eep/article/view/36955
Shahbaz, M., Ferrer, R., Shahzad, S. J. H., & Haouas, I. (2018). Is the tourism–economic growth nexus time-varying? Bootstrap rolling-window causality analysis for the top 10 tourist destinations. Applied Economics, 50(24), 2677–2697. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2017.1406655 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2017.1406655
Tang, C. F., & Abosedra, S. (2016). Does tourism expansion effectively spur economic growth in Morocco and Tunisia? Evidence from time series and panel data. Journal of Policy Research in Tourism, Leisure and Events, 8(2), 127–145. https://doi.org/10.1080/19407963.2015.1113980 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/19407963.2015.1113980
Tang, C. F., Tiwari, A. K., & Shahbaz, M. (2016). Dynamic inter-relationships among tourism, economic growth and energy consumption in India. Geosystem Engineering, 19(4), 158–169. https://doi.org/10.1080/12269328.2016.1162113 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/12269328.2016.1162113
UNWTO (World Travel Organization). (2019). International Tourism Highlights. 1–24. https://doi.org/10.18111/9789284421152 DOI: https://doi.org/10.18111/9789284421152
Wu, T. P., Wu, H. C., Liu, S. B., & Hsueh, S. J. (2018). The Relationship Between International Tourism Activities and Economic Growth: Evidence from China’s Economy. Tourism Planning and Development, 15(4), 365–381. https://doi.org/10.1080/21568316.2017.1324809 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/21568316.2017.1324809
Wu, T. P., Wu, H. C., Wu, C. F., Chen, F., & Wu, S. T. (2022). Tourism and Economic Development: A Multivariate Panel Granger Causality Test. Journal of China Tourism Research, 18(2), 327–349. https://doi.org/10.1080/19388160.2020.1824836 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/19388160.2020.1824836
Wu, T. P., Wu, H. C., Wu, Y. Y., Liu, Y. T., & Wu, S. T. (2022). Causality between tourism and economic growth nexus. Journal of China Tourism Research, 18(1), 88–105. https://doi.org/10.1080/19388160.2020.1801545 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/19388160.2020.1801545